Fallout from Hurricane Ian may lead insurance-linked securities (ILS) investors to reconsider ILS investments, furthering the demand/supply imbalance in the reinsurance sector, according to Fitch Ratings. Fitch said ILS represent about 20 percent—$100 billion—of global reinsurance capacity, with catastrophe bonds making up approximately 30 percent of the ILS market.
The United States experienced 15 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters during the first 9 months of 2022, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Information. Six of the weather and climate disasters occurred during the year's third quarter.
Risk modeling firm RMS has estimated total private market insured losses from Hurricane Ian to be between $53 billion and $74 billion, with a best estimate of $67 billion. In addition, the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) could see $10 billion in losses.
Catastrophes around the world are expected to cause $123 billion in insured losses this year, well above the average of $74 billion over the past 10 years, according to a new report from Verisk Extreme Event Solutions. Verisk notes that several factors contributed to the increase in losses.
Insured losses from Hurricane Fiona in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic should be manageable for affected insurers but will be influenced by the duration of business interruptions due to power losses, according to A.M. Best.